Practicev1

Base rate log: for one week, each time you encounter a vivid

Base rate log: for one week, each time you encounter a vivid anecdote, record it alongside the actual statistical base rate for that event, training your System 2 to counter availability heuristic distortions

Why This Is a Practice

Operationalizes calibration against availability heuristic.

Source Lessons

L-0151

Base rates matter more than narratives

Statistical base rates predict outcomes better than compelling individual stories. Your brain will fight this truth every time a vivid narrative competes with a dry statistic — and your brain will be wrong.

Connections

Specializes (2)

AxiomCognitive Dissonance Drives Information Avoidance AxiomCognition Operates Through Dual Processing Systems

Back to Concepts