Practicev1PC-010

Base rate log

for one week, each time you encounter a vivid anecdote, record it alongside the actual statistical base rate for that event, training your System 2 to counter availability heuristic distortions

Why This Is a Practice

Operationalizes calibration against availability heuristic.

Source Lessons

Base rates matter more than narratives

Statistical base rates predict outcomes better than compelling individual stories. Your brain will fight this truth every time a vivid narrative competes with a dry statistic — and your brain will be wrong.

Connections

Specializes (2)

AxiomCognitive Dissonance Drives Information Avoidance AxiomCognition Operates Through Dual Processing Systems

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