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How to ThinkIn the Age of AI
Principlev1PR-047

Before committing resources to a strategic plan, extract…

Before committing resources to a strategic plan, extract every assumption the plan depends on, rank them by importance and uncertainty, and design checkpoints that test critical assumptions first.

Why This Is a Principle

Derives from Illusion of Explanatory Depth (self-assessment unreliable), Mental Models Are Singular by Default (people construct single model), and The performance of an agent is bounded by the accuracy… (agent performance bounded by world model accuracy). Prescribes Discovery-Driven Planning as risk mitigation through assumption testing. This is actionable strategic planning guidance.