Principlev1

Before committing resources to a strategic plan, extract

Before committing resources to a strategic plan, extract every assumption the plan depends on, rank them by importance and uncertainty, and design checkpoints that test critical assumptions first.

Why This Is a Principle

Derives from Illusion of Explanatory Depth (self-assessment unreliable), Mental Models Are Singular by Default (people construct single model), and The performance of an agent is bounded by the accuracy of (agent performance bounded by world model accuracy). Prescribes Discovery-Driven Planning as risk mitigation through assumption testing. This is actionable strategic planning guidance.

Source Lessons

L-0025

Compound ideas hide dependencies

An idea that looks like one thing is often several things fused together, each carrying unstated assumptions that silently constrain what you can do with it.

Connections

Derived From (3)

AxiomIllusion of Explanatory Depth AxiomMental Models Are Singular by Default AxiomThe performance of an agent is bounded by the accuracy of

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