Principlev1PR-288
Before significant decisions, state your confidence level…
Before significant decisions, state your confidence level explicitly along with the three strongest reasons you could be wrong to institutionalize calibrated thinking.
Why This Is a Principle
This principle operationalizes calibrated humility in decision-making. It derives from Illusion of Explanatory Depth (articulation exposes gaps), Systematic Overconfidence Taxonomy (overconfidence is systematic), and Externalization Exposes Hidden Structure (externalization exposes unstated assumptions). The practice forces explicit calibration at decision points.