Principlev1PR-1153
Calibrate your internal authority voice by recording past…
Calibrate your internal authority voice by recording past predictions with confidence levels, checking outcomes, and adjusting future confidence based on your actual track record rather than emotional intensity or social pressure.
Why This Is a Principle
Derives from Hindsight Bias and Calibration Necessity (memory reconstructs beliefs), Systematic Overconfidence Taxonomy (systematic overconfidence), and Domain-Specific Calibration Development (calibration develops from feedback loops). The principle prescribes external calibration systems as the mechanism for aligning subjective confidence with objective reliability. It is not just 'track your predictions' - it specifies the mechanism: confidence adjustment based on outcome data.