Skip to content
How to ThinkIn the Age of AI
Principlev1PR-1036

Establish dynamic baselines from actual performance data…

Establish dynamic baselines from actual performance data rather than setting thresholds from aspirational targets.

Why This Is a Principle

Derives from Systematic Overconfidence Taxonomy (overconfidence in estimation) and Brain as Hierarchical Prediction Machine (prediction error propagation). The Shewhart principle prescribes data-driven thresholds. This bridges to L-0555 but the general principle applies to automated systems.