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How to ThinkIn the Age of AI
Principlev1PR-1094

Record your rationale for each optimization before observing

Record your rationale for each optimization before observing its outcome—this pre-commitment defeats hindsight bias and preserves your actual reasoning for later calibration.

Why This Is a Principle

This is a direct application of hindsight bias defense (Hindsight Bias and Calibration Necessity). The axiom states that memory reconstructs past beliefs toward known outcomes; the principle prescribes writing down beliefs before outcomes are known to preserve them for comparison.