For each schema, list its key assumptions…
Define environmental change triggers by listing key assumptions underlying each schema and specifying observable indicators that each assumption no longer holds.
When This Fires
- When documenting a new schema and wanting to future-proof it against environmental change
- During assumption registers (Track assumptions in a five-field register) when linking assumptions to monitoring
- When a schema's assumptions haven't been checked in months
- After an environmental shift that may have invalidated multiple schemas
Common Failure Mode
Listing assumptions without specifying observable indicators: "This schema assumes the market is growing." How would you know if it stopped growing? Without an observable indicator, you can't monitor the assumption — you'll only discover it broke after the schema fails. Every assumption needs a paired indicator.
The Protocol
For each schema: (1) List its 2-3 key environmental assumptions — the conditions it depends on. (2) For each assumption, specify an observable indicator of violation: "Assumption [X] would no longer hold if I observed [specific, monitorable event]." (3) Add these indicators to your monitoring: check them during scheduled reviews (Match review frequency to volatility) or set up automated alerts where possible. (4) When an indicator fires → the assumption may have broken. Investigate immediately and review the schema.