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How to ThinkIn the Age of AI

Enforce 5 minutes of data-only observation in incident…

During incident response, enforce a mandatory 5-minute observation period where team members only report dashboard data and log patterns before anyone proposes a causal theory.

When This Fires

  • At the start of any incident response (production outage, security incident, major bug)
  • When a team assembles to investigate an urgent problem
  • During any high-pressure diagnostic situation where premature theories are likely
  • Complements Read logs for five minutes before proposing theories… (individual 5-minute observation) for team contexts

Common Failure Mode

Someone proposes a theory before the 5 minutes are up, and the team follows it: "I bet it's the recent deploy." Now everyone is investigating the deploy, the observation period collapses, and the actual cause (a DNS change that happened 2 hours earlier) goes unexamined for another 20 minutes. The facilitator must actively enforce the observation-only constraint.

The Protocol

At incident start: (1) Facilitator announces: "Five-minute observation period. Report data only — no theories yet." (2) Set a literal 5-minute timer visible to the team. (3) Team members report: dashboard states, error messages, log patterns, metric changes, timing of events. (4) Facilitator redirects any theory attempts: "Hold that — we're still in observation. What data are you seeing?" (5) After 5 minutes: "Observation period complete. Based on what we've all seen, what hypotheses should we investigate?" The shared data foundation produces better-grounded, more diverse hypotheses than any individual's premature theory.