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How to ThinkIn the Age of AI

Run simplified systems for two full cycles before…

Validate simplified systems by running them for at least two full cycles before declaring success, as one cycle cannot distinguish between successful simplification and lucky conditions.

When This Fires

  • After removing a process step, tool, or workflow component
  • When evaluating whether a simplification should be made permanent
  • After a "trial period" of a simpler process
  • Any system change designed to reduce complexity

Common Failure Mode

Declaring success after one smooth cycle and permanently removing the old system. "We ran without the QA review step for a sprint and nothing broke — let's make it permanent." But the sprint might have had a light bug load. The second sprint reveals three bugs that the QA step would have caught. Always run the old system in parallel for two cycles, or maintain the ability to revert.

The Protocol

After any system simplification: (1) Run the simplified system for two full cycles (sprints, weeks, months — whatever the natural cycle is). (2) During each cycle, track: did anything fail that the removed component would have caught? Did the simplified system handle edge cases? (3) After two successful cycles → declare the simplification validated and make it permanent. (4) After any failure in cycle 1 or 2 → either restore the removed component or redesign the simplification to handle the failure case.