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How to ThinkIn the Age of AI

Before waiting on a decision, write tripwires — what…

Write explicit tripwire conditions specifying what observations would resolve ambiguity in each direction before entering any strategic waiting period.

When This Fires

  • Before entering any deliberate waiting period on a decision (see Wait 48 hours before acting on ambiguous decisions…)
  • When "I need more information" is your reason for not deciding
  • During strategic planning when decisions are deliberately deferred
  • Any situation where patience is the strategy and you need to distinguish it from avoidance

Common Failure Mode

Writing vague tripwires: "If things get clearer, I'll decide." That's not a tripwire — it's a wish. A tripwire must specify a concrete, observable event: "If the client responds positively to the proposal by Friday, I'll commit to Option A" or "If the error rate stays above 5% through Tuesday, I'll switch to the backup plan."

The Protocol

Before entering any waiting period: (1) Write the decision and the options. (2) For each direction (each option), write: "I would choose Option [X] if I observe [specific, concrete, observable condition]." (3) Set a deadline: "If no tripwire fires by [date], I will choose [default option]." (4) The tripwires + deadline guarantee the wait ends — either triggered by evidence or terminated by the clock. Strategic patience without a termination condition is procrastination wearing a strategy hat.