Principlev1PR-283
Track not just prediction accuracy but also the frequency…
Track not just prediction accuracy but also the frequency and magnitude of belief updates to detect systematic conservatism or overreaction patterns.
Why This Is a Principle
This principle extends prediction tracking (L-0156) to track the updating process itself. It derives from Belief Perseverance Against Contradictory Evidence (belief perseverance), Hindsight Bias and Calibration Necessity (memory reconstruction), and Systematic Overconfidence Taxonomy (systematic overconfidence). It prescribes a specific extension to calibration logs that makes updating patterns visible.