Principlev1PR-281
Translate probabilistic reasoning into natural frequencies…
Translate probabilistic reasoning into natural frequencies (counts out of a reference class) rather than abstract percentages to align with evolutionarily grounded cognitive mechanisms.
Why This Is a Principle
This principle directly implements Natural Frequency Format Advantage (natural frequencies produce better Bayesian reasoning). It prescribes a specific representational strategy (use frequencies not probabilities) that follows from how human cognition evolved to process statistical information. Gigerenzer's work shows this is actionable and effective.