Principlev1PR-327

Use prospective hindsight (imagining future failure as past…

Use prospective hindsight (imagining future failure as past event) to surface hidden assumptions more effectively than forward-looking risk analysis.

Why This Is a Principle

Grounded in Automatic Narrative Generation Precedes Conscious Evaluation (brain generates causal narratives automatically) and Belief Perseverance Against Contradictory Evidence (belief perseverance). The pre-mortem technique leverages automatic narrative generation while bypassing defensive reasoning—a general cognitive strategy.

Source Lessons

Externalize your assumptions

Assumptions you never write down are assumptions you never question. Every plan, decision, and belief rests on invisible premises — and the invisible ones are the ones that destroy you.

Connections

Derived From (2)

AxiomAutomatic Narrative Generation Precedes Conscious Evaluation AxiomBelief Perseverance Against Contradictory Evidence

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