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How to ThinkIn the Age of AI
Principlev1PR-152

When confidence spikes, increase scrutiny…

When confidence spikes, increase scrutiny proportionally—high certainty is a warning signal that neural gating against disconfirmation has activated.

Why This Is a Principle

Directly derives from the Rollwage findings cited in L-0086, which demonstrated that confidence creates a neural gate reducing processing of disconfirming evidence. Systematic Overconfidence Taxonomy (systematic overconfidence) provides the axiom. The principle inverts the intuitive response—treating confidence as a trigger for more investigation, not less.

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