Frequently asked questions about thinking, epistemology, and cognitive tools. 1112 answers
Recording what you expect to happen and comparing to what actually happens is the only reliable method for calibrating judgment. Without a written record, hindsight bias rewrites your memory of what you believed, making genuine learning from experience impossible.
Recording what you expect to happen and comparing to what actually happens is the only reliable method for calibrating judgment. Without a written record, hindsight bias rewrites your memory of what you believed, making genuine learning from experience impossible.
Recording what you expect to happen and comparing to what actually happens is the only reliable method for calibrating judgment. Without a written record, hindsight bias rewrites your memory of what you believed, making genuine learning from experience impossible.
Your emotions do not add random noise to perception — they warp it in predictable, measurable directions. Anxiety inflates threats. Euphoria shrinks risks. Anger manufactures certainty. Once you know the direction of the distortion, you can correct for it.
Your emotions do not add random noise to perception — they warp it in predictable, measurable directions. Anxiety inflates threats. Euphoria shrinks risks. Anger manufactures certainty. Once you know the direction of the distortion, you can correct for it.
Your emotions do not add random noise to perception — they warp it in predictable, measurable directions. Anxiety inflates threats. Euphoria shrinks risks. Anger manufactures certainty. Once you know the direction of the distortion, you can correct for it.
Your emotions do not add random noise to perception — they warp it in predictable, measurable directions. Anxiety inflates threats. Euphoria shrinks risks. Anger manufactures certainty. Once you know the direction of the distortion, you can correct for it.
Your emotions do not add random noise to perception — they warp it in predictable, measurable directions. Anxiety inflates threats. Euphoria shrinks risks. Anger manufactures certainty. Once you know the direction of the distortion, you can correct for it.
Insufficient sleep impairs perception as much as moderate alcohol intoxication — and unlike alcohol, you cannot feel it happening.
Insufficient sleep impairs perception as much as moderate alcohol intoxication — and unlike alcohol, you cannot feel it happening.
Insufficient sleep impairs perception as much as moderate alcohol intoxication — and unlike alcohol, you cannot feel it happening.
Insufficient sleep impairs perception as much as moderate alcohol intoxication — and unlike alcohol, you cannot feel it happening.
Under stress your perceptual field contracts — you see less, process less, and mistake the narrow slice you do perceive for the whole picture. Recognizing this contraction is the first step to correcting it.
Under stress your perceptual field contracts — you see less, process less, and mistake the narrow slice you do perceive for the whole picture. Recognizing this contraction is the first step to correcting it.
Under stress your perceptual field contracts — you see less, process less, and mistake the narrow slice you do perceive for the whole picture. Recognizing this contraction is the first step to correcting it.
Under stress your perceptual field contracts — you see less, process less, and mistake the narrow slice you do perceive for the whole picture. Recognizing this contraction is the first step to correcting it.
Under stress your perceptual field contracts — you see less, process less, and mistake the narrow slice you do perceive for the whole picture. Recognizing this contraction is the first step to correcting it.
Basic physiological states measurably alter what you perceive and how you evaluate it.
Basic physiological states measurably alter what you perceive and how you evaluate it.
Basic physiological states measurably alter what you perceive and how you evaluate it.
Basic physiological states measurably alter what you perceive and how you evaluate it.
You overestimate the likelihood of events you can easily recall examples of. The availability heuristic substitutes the question "how frequent is this?" with the question "how easily can I think of an example?" — and the substitution happens below conscious awareness, which means you feel like you.
You overestimate the likelihood of events you can easily recall examples of. The availability heuristic substitutes the question "how frequent is this?" with the question "how easily can I think of an example?" — and the substitution happens below conscious awareness, which means you feel like you.
You overestimate the likelihood of events you can easily recall examples of. The availability heuristic substitutes the question "how frequent is this?" with the question "how easily can I think of an example?" — and the substitution happens below conscious awareness, which means you feel like you.