Principlev1PR-102
Evaluate decisions by process quality rather than outcome…
Evaluate decisions by process quality rather than outcome, using documented reasoning and predictions to separate signal (decision skill) from noise (outcome luck).
Why This Is a Principle
This derives from Humans discount future rewards hyperbolically rather… (hyperbolic discounting makes outcomes temporally biased) and Learning occurs when outcomes differ from predictions… (learning requires prediction-outcome comparison). The principle follows: documented process enables separating decision quality from outcome quality in domains with uncertainty.
Source Lessons
Capture decisions and their reasoning
Record not just what you decided but why — because your future self will rewrite the reasoning after the fact, and you will never notice it happening.
Externalize decisions not just information
The most valuable thing to capture is why you chose what you chose. Decisions decay faster than facts — and unlike facts, they cannot be reconstructed after the outcome is known.