Principlev1
Test catastrophic narratives for probability neglect by
Test catastrophic narratives for probability neglect by examining each link in the causal chain independently rather than treating the sequence as inevitable.
Why This Is a Principle
Derives from Automatic Narrative Generation Precedes Conscious Evaluation (automatic causal narratives) and Emotional Hijacking of Judgment (emotional evaluation substitutes for probability judgment). The principle prescribes breaking apart automatic narrative chains to evaluate probability. It's a general procedure applicable whenever anxiety generates cascading worst-case scenarios.