Principlev1

Track actual task duration against estimates to build a

Track actual task duration against estimates to build a personal calibration factor that corrects for systematic optimism bias.

Why This Is a Principle

Follows from Domain-Specific Calibration Development (calibration develops from feedback loops) and Hindsight Bias and Calibration Necessity (memory systematically shifts toward hindsight bias). The principle prescribes a feedback-driven practice that corrects a known cognitive limitation. It's domain-general and actionable.

Source Lessons

L-0828

Time estimation skills

Most people underestimate how long tasks take — not because they are careless, but because human cognition is systematically biased toward optimism when imagining future work. Estimation is a skill that improves only through deliberate practice: estimate, track actual time, compare, recalibrate, repeat.

Connections

Derived From (2)

AxiomHindsight Bias and Calibration Necessity AxiomDomain-Specific Calibration Development

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