Lessons tagged “prediction”
4 published lessons with this tag.
perception
Calibration requires feedback
You cannot improve the alignment between your confidence and your accuracy without external data that reveals the gap between what you believed and what actually happened. Calibration without feedback is guesswork about guesswork.
schema
Predictions test schemas
If your schema is correct it should make accurate predictions about what will happen next.
schema
Failed predictions are data not failures
When your prediction is wrong you have learned something about where your schema is off.
emotion
Prediction as pattern evidence
If you can predict your emotional reaction to a situation you have identified a pattern.