Skip to content
How to ThinkIn the Age of AI

Concepts

The irreducible epistemic atoms underlying the curriculum. 4,828 atoms across 8 types

Rule

One hypothesis-driven improvement per week — state…

Run one complete PDCA improvement iteration per week on a single operational system: state a hypothesis predicting how a specific change will improve a specific measurable outcome by an estimated amount, implement for one cycle, measure the result, then adopt, adjust, or abandon based on whether the prediction held.

1 lessonprocess-improvementsystems-thinkingexperimentation
Rule

Before optimizing a positive pattern, test causation…

Before optimizing around a perceived positive pattern, verify through deliberate removal tests whether the pattern persists when suspected causal factors are absent.

1 lessonexperimentationcritical-thinkingpattern-recognition
Rule

Test personal correlations for confounding variables…

Before building optimization systems around a personal correlation, test whether the correlation survives when you control for potential confounding variables through deliberate experimental variation.

1 lessonexperimentationcritical-thinkingcalibration
Rule

Test schemas at the smallest possible scale first…

Before acting on a schema in any consequential way, test it through concrete action at the smallest possible scale first and observe actual results against pre-stated predictions.

2 lessonsexperimentationschema-validationrisk-assessment
Rule

Shift team schemas through shared experiments…

When attempting to shift a shared team schema, create low-cost experiments where the team uses the new schema on one real decision, rather than presenting the new framework in slides or documents.

1 lessonteam-dynamicsbehavior-changeexperimentation