The irreducible epistemic atoms underlying the curriculum. 2,888 atoms across 3 types and 2 molecules
Memory reconstructs rather than faithfully stores prior beliefs, systematically shifting them toward alignment with known outcomes (hindsight bias), making genuine learning from unrecorded predictions impossible and requiring external calibration systems to align subjective confidence with objective accuracy.
Humans exhibit systematic overconfidence across domains, with subjective confidence consistently exceeding objective accuracy in three distinct forms—overestimation of absolute performance, overplacement relative to others, and overprecision of confidence intervals—that behave differently across task difficulty levels.
Calibration develops from domain-specific feedback loops that provide rapid, unambiguous outcome information after predictions, and does not transfer automatically across domains.