Concepts
The irreducible epistemic atoms underlying the curriculum. 4,828 atoms across 8 types
Review decisions in three steps
When reviewing decision journal entries, follow the three-step sequence: (1) re-read original reasoning with outcome hidden, (2) predict outcome based only on original reasoning, (3) uncover actual outcome and compare all three—this sequence defeats hindsight bias.
Evaluate decision process separately from outcome — 'was…
When reviewing decision outcomes, evaluate process quality independently from result quality by asking 'given what was knowable at decision time, was the reasoning sound?' rather than 'did it work out?'
Score process and outcome independently on a 2x2…
Evaluate decision quality separately from outcome quality by scoring process and results independently, placing decisions in a 2x2 matrix to distinguish deserved success, bad luck, dumb luck, and deserved failure.