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How to ThinkIn the Age of AI

Concepts

The irreducible epistemic atoms underlying the curriculum. 4,828 atoms across 8 types

Principle

Actively search for conditions under which your schema would

Actively search for conditions under which your schema would fail and test those conditions specifically, rather than testing only where success is likely.

1 lesson
Principle

Define in advance what evidence would falsify your schema…

Define in advance what evidence would falsify your schema and commit to that standard before collecting data, preventing post-hoc rationalization of ambiguous results.

2 lessons
Principle

Structure your knowledge system to preserve and surface…

Structure your knowledge system to preserve and surface contradictions, counterarguments, and disconfirming evidence rather than curating only supporting material.

3 lessons
Principle

Attack your highest-confidence schemas most aggressively…

Attack your highest-confidence schemas most aggressively, because confidence indicates attachment that blinds you to flaws.

1 lesson
Principle

Shift validation questions from future-conditional ('what…

Shift validation questions from future-conditional ('what could go wrong?') to past-definite ('it failed—why?') to bypass motivated reasoning.

1 lesson
Principle

Allocate validation effort by multiplying probability…

Allocate validation effort by multiplying probability of being wrong by impact of being wrong, not by treating all uncertainties equally.

1 lesson
Principle

Generate multiple independent observable consequences…

Generate multiple independent observable consequences of a schema, then evaluate whether those consequences converge or diverge across different evidence types.

1 lesson
Principle

When direct testing is impossible, look for the schema…

When direct testing is impossible, look for the schema that explains the most diverse types of observations under a single mechanism.

1 lesson
Principle

Validate important self-schemas using at least three…

Validate important self-schemas using at least three independent evidence types: behavioral observation, external feedback, and outcome tracking.

1 lesson
Principle

When one piece of evidence contradicts four confirming…

When one piece of evidence contradicts four confirming pieces, treat the divergence as diagnostic of either measurement error or a boundary condition, not as noise to dismiss.

1 lesson
Principle

Choose schema reviewers who think differently…

Choose schema reviewers who think differently from you, not those who share your framework, because divergent perspectives surface blind spots that similar perspectives cannot see.

1 lesson
Principle

Present schemas for review using three diagnostic questions

What assumption am I missing? What would disconfirm this? What alternative explains the same observations?

1 lesson
Principle

Receive schema feedback without defending for at least 24…

Receive schema feedback without defending for at least 24 hours, because immediate response activates argumentation mode rather than evaluation mode.

1 lesson
Principle

Document validation results immediately…

Document validation results immediately and contemporaneously, before hindsight bias rewrites your memory of what you predicted or expected.

1 lesson
Principle

Record five components for each validation

the schema before testing, the test performed, what you predicted, what actually happened, and what it means for the schema.

1 lesson
Principle

Write validation records in specific observational language…

Write validation records in specific observational language ('she pushed back on three of five points') not interpretive language ('she mostly agreed'), to prevent retroactive interpretation drift.

1 lesson
Principle

Review validation logs periodically to identify…

Review validation logs periodically to identify meta-patterns—systematic tendencies in how your schemas fail—rather than treating each validation as an isolated event.

1 lesson
Principle

Document disconfirmations more carefully than confirmations…

Document disconfirmations more carefully than confirmations, because confirmations are naturally retained in memory while disconfirming evidence is filtered out.

1 lesson
Principle

Document the specific conditions under which a schema…

Document the specific conditions under which a schema was validated, as the boundary of tested conditions defines the boundary of warranted confidence.

1 lesson
Principle

Reformulate schemas with explicit boundary clauses…

Reformulate schemas with explicit boundary clauses that separate validated conditions from untested extrapolations.

2 lessons
Principle

When transferring a schema to a new domain, treat…

When transferring a schema to a new domain, treat the transfer as a new hypothesis requiring independent validation rather than an extension of existing validation.

1 lesson
Principle

Treat scale transitions as requiring revalidation…

Treat scale transitions as requiring revalidation, as schemas validated at one scale often encounter emergent properties at different scales that invalidate their predictions.

1 lesson
Principle

Distinguish epistemic confidence (grounded in evidence)…

Distinguish epistemic confidence (grounded in evidence) from psychological confidence (grounded in identity and familiarity) by requiring an external validation trail for the former.

1 lesson
Principle

Test schemas where you feel most certain first, as high…

Test schemas where you feel most certain first, as high confidence without testing history signals the highest risk of unwarranted certainty.

1 lesson