The irreducible epistemic atoms underlying the curriculum. 4,828 atoms across 8 types and 2 molecules
When unpacking task estimates, decompose complex tasks into component steps before estimating duration—unpacking improves accuracy by forcing visibility of dependencies and transitions that holistic estimation skips.
After identifying that you are systematically overconfident on timelines by X%, multiply your initial timeline estimates by (1 + X/100) before stating them publicly.
When planning task duration, deliberately switch from inside-view scenario construction to outside-view base-rate consultation by asking 'how long have similar tasks taken?' instead of 'how long will this take?'